• E4J University Module Series: Organized Crime

• Module 5: Conceptualizing and Measuring Organized Crime

• Introduction and learning outcomes

• Key issues

• How much organized crime is there?
• Alternative ways to measure organized crime
• Measuring product markets and flows
• Risk assessment
• Key concepts of risk assessment
• Risk assessment of organized criminal groups
• Risk assessment of product markets
• Risk assessment in practice
• Summary
• References

• Exercises

• Exercises and case studies
• Thinking critically through fiction

• Possible class structure

• Core reading

• Advanced reading

• Student assessment

• Review and assessment questions
• Quiz 5
• Research and independent study questions

• Additional teaching tools

 

Published in April 2018

Regional Perspectives: Pacific Islands Region - added in November 2019

Regional Perspective: Eastern and Southern Africa - added in April 2020

 

 

  This module is a resource for lecturers  

 

Key concepts of risk assessment

 

Risk and threat must be distinguished because they are different concepts. Risk is the product of the threat or likelihood of an event (i.e. its probability of occurring) and the severity of its consequences (i.e. the harm produced). 

Figure 5.3 Threat, harm, and risk

When both the threat (probability) and its severity (harm) are known, a risk assessment can be carried out. This process is illustrated in Figure 5.3. Risk assessment, therefore, includes measures of both threat and harm. The specifics of a given location and local context are crucial for accurate risk assessment.

 

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